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Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview and Pick


To say the NFC East is the worst division in the NFL is actually giving the teams too much credit. That would be placing them in the league, and frankly, they haven’t looked like they belong. If this was Premier League soccer, they would be replaced by the top four teams in the SEC West.


NFC East Stats

The NFC (L)East teams are collectively 2-16-1 against the rest of the league. That’s just under a 14% winning percentage. If they didn’t get to play each other, they’d be nothing but a collection of 2-14 teams. As it stands heading into Week 8, they’re all just struggling to get bowl eligible.

The Eagles and Cowboys were predicted to battle it out for the division title and even Wild Card spots. With 44% of the season behind them, the division title battle is still on. As hard as it is to believe, the Eagles lead the division with a record of 2-4-1.

They are followed closely by Dallas and Washington, both at 2-5 on the season. It’s guaranteed that the division leader halfway through the season will have no more than three wins. Last year, Philadelphia won the NFC East with a 9-7 record, seemingly unattainable in 2020.

There are a lot of similarities in how the Eagles and Cowboys have ended up with sub-.500 records. They both have negative turnover margins and are in the bottom quarter of the league in rushing defense. The Cowboys are dead last in rushing yards allowed, giving up 178 yards a game.

Did you miss out on last week’s action? Here’s NFL Week 7 by the numbers.

Betting Lines

The Eagles are 7.5-point home favorites at top online sportsbooks over the Cowboys, who haven’t beaten the spread in any game this season. Philadelphia isn’t much better, going 2-5 against the spread in 2020. The moneyline is paying -350 on the Eagles and +286 on the Cowboys.

The over/under is set at 43.5 points, an unbelievably low number considering the kind of offense we’ve seen in the NFL. It’s definitely influenced by Dallas’ 13 points in the last two games after losing quarterback Dak Prescott to injury.

Our last article here was a Texans at Steelers free pick that we absolutely crushed, go check it out.

Game Outlook

The Sunday night matchup is the continuation of a nasty NFC East rivalry. One of these teams has won the division six of the last seven years, both winning it three times.

Dallas lost its second quarterback, Andy Dalton, to a concussion suffered against Washington. He isn’t expected to play, and rookie Ben DiNucci will likely start against the Eagles. DiNucci replaced Dalton in the Washington game and completed two passes for 39 yards.

One look at NFL scores shows the stories of the season for Dallas have been an ineffective rushing defense and turnovers. Even teams with sub-par running games are shredding the Cowboy defense. Coming into last week’s game, Washington was averaging 82 yards on the ground and lit up Dallas for 208.

The Pick

As bad as that might sound, the turnover problem is even worse. They’ve turned the ball over 16 times, including nine fumbles. 

Their opponents have only given the ball back to Dallas on three occasions. If there is a bright spot for Philadelphia, it’s their 12th-ranked defense.

It’s hard to bet on a team that hasn’t covered the spread and is starting its third-string quarterback. The offensive line is a mess, and the locker room might even be worse.

The Eagles are probably better than their record indicates, so they’re worthy of a shot.

If you think the Cowboys can manage to get 20 points, the over should be a good wager.

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