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Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Pick


As we enter Week 3 of the NFL season, some preseason questions are beginning to get answered. One of them is whether the Pittsburgh Steelers could bounce back and get into playoff contention. With a 2-0 record and an average margin of victory of 7.5 points, the answer is clearly yes.




This week, the Steelers host a winless Houston Texans team that has been outscored by a league-high 31 points. The schedule hasn't been kind, as they've had to take on Kansas City and Baltimore to start the season. It doesn't get much easier with Pittsburgh running and passing the ball with a lot of efficiency.

Last Week's Games

Houston never really challenged the Ravens and was held to just over 300 yards in total offense. The Texans turned the ball over twice and ended up losing 33-16 as seven-point home underdogs when studying NFL scores and odds.


Although the Steelers never trailed the visiting Broncos, it was still a one-possession game late in the fourth quarter. The 7.5-point favorites had the ball inside Denver's 10-yard line and elected to run out the clock. Instead of kicking a field goal, the Steelers settled for a 26-21 win and failed to cover the spread.


Do you need more on last week? Take a look at NFL Week 2 By the Numbers.

Betting Lines

The 2-0 Steelers are 3.5-point favorites, paying -200 on the moneyline with an over/under of 45 points. If the 0-2 Broncos win, they'll pay out +175 on the moneyline. So far this season, both teams are 1-1 against the spread, failing to cover in their home games.


The Steelers' point total fell short of the over/under line in Week 1 but bettered it against the Broncos. In the first game, the Chiefs and Texans scored the exact number of points on the over/under line. Last week, the total score of 49 in Houston's game with Baltimore fell short of the 51.5 line.


Did you see our 76ers vs. Celtics betting preview for Game 3? We crushed the spread and total!

Game Preview

The Texans have given up 31 points more than they've scored and surrender 5.6 yards per carry on the ground. Their leading rusher is averaging 55.5 yards a game, and they're gaining 56 yards per game less than their opponents. Quarterback Deshaun Watson has been sacked eight times already in 2020 and thrown a pair of interceptions.


Meanwhile, the Steelers are polar opposites, outgaining their opponents by an average of 75 yards a game. They've held the Giants and Broncos to just 2.9 yards per carry on the ground and a 56.5 completion rate through the air.




Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger doesn't appear to be showing any ill effects of last season's elbow injury. His completion percentage is 68.4%, and he's thrown for 540 yards and five touchdowns.


Given the statistics of the two teams through two games, the 3.5-point spread appears to be less than expected. Perhaps the oddsmakers are taking into consideration the level of opponents the Texans have faced. The Steelers' wins have come against a pair of winless teams, creating some skepticism regarding their value.


Even though the competition has been tough, I haven't seen much consistently solid play from the Texans.

I like the Steelers to cover, and with their defense playing well, the under could be a good bet.

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